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  • CV & Interests
  • Courses
    • 2022/23 >
      • Applied Scaling & Classification Techniques in Political Science
      • Big Data Analytics (DAPS&CO)
      • Scienza Politica
      • Game Theory for Social Scientists
  • Publications
    • Scientific Publications
    • Articles on press OP/EDS
    • Interviews
  • ILSD
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Books

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The Politics and Ideology of Legislative Speeches. The Gender Dimension (with Fedra Negri, Silvia Decadri & Giovanni Pagano), London: Routledge, forthcoming, 2023
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Discussing the Islamic State on Twitter (with Matteo Colombo), London: Palgrave/MacMillan, 2022 (dataset & replication files for econometric analysis)

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SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science & International Relations (with Robert J. Franzese), London: Sage, April 2020
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Corruption, Ideology, Populism. The rise of valence political campaigning, London: Palgrave, 2018
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L’arte di fare (e disfare) i governi: da De Gasperi a Renzi 70 anni di politica italiana (with Luca Pinto), Milan: Egea, 2017 
(dataset & instruction files)​
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Politics and Big Data. Nowcasting and Forecasting Elections with Social Media (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), London: Routledge, 2017

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Why Policy Representation Matters: The Consequences of Ideological Congruence between Citizens and their Governments (with Willy Jou & Vincenzo Memoli), London: Routledge, 2015  (dataset & instruction files)
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Social Media e Sentiment Analysis. L'evoluzione dei fenomeni sociali attraverso la Rete (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus),  Milan: Springer, 2013
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​I partiti nella Prima Repubblica. Maggioranze e governi dalla Costituente a Tangentopoli (with Paolo Martelli), Rome: Carocci, 2009 (book review in “Bullettin of Italian Politics​")
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Il dilemma della cooperazione. Capitale sociale, sviluppo, cooperazione, Milan: V&P Università 2004

Papers in peer-reviewed journals 

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Populism in the Eye of the Beholder? A Conjoint Experiment on Citizens’ Identification of Populists (with Matteo Casiraghi and Alessandro Nai), European Journal of Political Research, forthcoming
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The Colors of Ideology: Chromatic Isomorphism and Political Party Logos (with Matteo Casiraghi and Eugenio Cusumano), Party Politics, doi: 10.1177/13540688221080539 (link to the Logo database)
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Capturing causation in political science: the perspective of research design (with Alessia Damonte), Italian Review of Political Science, 51(2), 2021, 157-163

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When the worlds of preferences collide: Determinants of MP’s attitudes on the Italian Questione Romana 1861-1870 (with Matteo Casiraghi), Parliamentary Affairs, doi:10.1093/pa/gsab032
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What you seek is who you are. An applied spatial model of newspapers ideological slant, The International Journal of Press/Politics, 27(1), 2022, 96-119 (replication files)
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Committed moderates and uncommitted extremists: ideological leaning and parties’ narratives on military interventions in Italy (with Valerio Vignoli), Foreign Policy Analysis, doi: 10.1093/fpa/orab016
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Short-term issue emphasis on Twitter during the 2017 German election: A comparison of the economic left-right and socio-cultural dimensions  (with Andrea Ceron and Wiebke Drews), German Politics, DOI: ​10.1080/09644008.2020.1836161

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Proximity between citizens and journalists as a determinant of trust in the media. An application to Italy (with Sergio Splendore), Journalism Studies, 21, 9, 2020, 1167-1185
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Commenting on Political Topics Through Twitter: Is European Politics European? (with Andrea Ceron and Javier Ruiz-Soler​), Social Media + Society, DOI: 10.1177/2056305119890882
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The spatial determinants of the prevalence of anti-elite rhetoric across parties, West European Politics, 43(7), 2020, 1415-1435 (dataset & replication file)
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 Intra-party Politics and Interest Groups: Missing Links in Explaining Government Effectiveness (with Andrea Ceron and Fedra Negri), Public Choice, 180, 3/4, 2019, 407:427 

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The integrity of the 2016 US Presidential election: exploring the possible impact of ideology on experts, Party Politics, 2021, 27(1), 81-91
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ISIS at its apogee: the Arabic discourse on Twitter and what we can learn from that about ISIS support and Foreign Fighters (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Sage Open, 2019, DOI: 10.1177/2158244018789229​
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Intensity of government–opposition divide as measured through legislative speeches and what we can learn from it. Analyses of Japanese parliamentary debates, 1953–2013 (with Airo Hino & Atsushi Osaki), Government and Opposition,  55(2), ​2020, 184-201
​(a space-invader video!) ​
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ISIS and heritage destruction: A sentiment analysis (with Emma Cunliffe), Antiquity. A Review of World Archaeology, 92(364), 2018, 1094-1111 [here an article published at Lavanguardia discussing about our research]



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Nash Optimal Party Positions: The nopp R Package (with Stefano M. Iacus), Journal of Statistical Software, 81(11), 2017
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The conditional impact of winner/loser status and ideological proximity on citizen participation (with Willy Jou), European Journal of Political Research, 55, 2016, 767-788 (dataset & instruction files)
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iSA: a fast, scalable and accurate algorithm for sentiment analysis of social media content (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Information Sciences, 367–368 (1), 2016, 105–124
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​E-Campaigning in the 2014 European Elections: The emphasis on valence issues in a two-dimensional multi-party system (with Andrea Ceron), Party Politics, 24(2), 2018, 105-117 (dataset & instruction files)

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First and second level agenda-setting in the Twitter-sphere. An application to the Italian political debate (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Journal of Information Technology & Politics, 13(2), 2016, 159-174
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Using social media to forecast electoral results: A review of state of the art (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, 25(3), 2016, 239-261 (dataset & instruction files)
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An Italian Leitmotiv? Corruption and Competence in the Debates of the Italian Chamber of Deputies (1946-2014), South European Society and Politics, 20(4), 2015, 509-531 (dataset & instruction files)
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Legislative committees as uncertainty reduction devices in multiparty parliamentary democracies (with Francesco Zucchini), West European Politics, 38(5), 2015, 1042-1061 
​(dataset & instruction files)

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More than Post-election Cabinets: Uncertainty and the Magnitude of Change during Italian Government Bargaining (with Luca Pinto), International Political Science Review, 37(2), 2016, 184-197
​(dataset & instruction files)
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Alla ricerca dell’euroscetticismo sui social media: un confronto tra 12 Stati membri in occasione delle elezioni europee 2014 (with Andrea Ceron & Marco Mainenti), Biblioteca della Libertà, L(212), 2015, 61-76
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Measuring Idiosyncratic Happiness Through the Analysis of Twitter: An Application to the Italian Case (with Stefano M. Iacus & Luciano Canova), Social Indicators Research, 121(2), 2015, 525-542
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Using sentiment analysis to monitor electoral campaigns: method matters. Evidence from the United States and Italy (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Social Science Computer Review, 33(1), 2015, 3-20

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The conditional ideological inducement to campaign on character valence issues in multiparty systems. The case of corruption, Comparative Political Studies, 48(2), 2015, 168–192 (dataset & instruction files)
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Explaining Party Ideological Stances, Public Choice, 162, 2015, 79–96 (dataset & instruction files)
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The institutional foundations of committee cohesion in a (changing) parliamentary democracy (with Francesco Zucchini), European Political Science Review, 6(4), 2014, 527-547 (dataset & instruction files)
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A case of valence competition in elections: parties’ emphasis on corruption in electoral manifestos (with Paolo Martelli), Party Politics, Vol. 21(5), 2015, 686-698  (dataset & instruction files)

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 How Moderates and Extremists find Happiness: Ideological Orientation, Citizen-Government Proximity, and Life Satisfaction (with Willy Jou & Vincenzo Memoli), International Political Science Review, 35(2), 2014, 129-152 (dataset & instruction files)
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Every tweet counts? How sentiment analysis of social media can improve our knowledge of citizens’ policy preferences. An application to Italy and France (with Andrea Ceron, Stefano M. Iacus & Giuseppe Porro), New Media & Society, 16(2), 2014, 340-358 (dataset & instruction files)
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Parties’ influence during government policy negotiations: parliamentary dynamics and spatial advantages in the First Italian Republic (with Andrea Ceron), Journal of Legislative Studies, 19(4), 2013, 429-449  (dataset & instruction files)
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Government formation under the shadow of a core party. The case of the First Italian Republic (with Luca Pinto), Party Politics,  19(3), 2013, 502-522 (dataset & instruction files)

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Italian Law-Making Archive: A new tool for analysis of the Italian legislative process (with Enrico Borghetto, Marco Giuliani, Alessandro Pellegata, & Francesco Zucchini), Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, 3(2012): 481-502 (link to the dataset ILMA)
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Filosofi e polis. Spunti da una narrazione analitica sull’allegoria platonica della Caverna (with Beatrice Magni), Filosofia Politica, 26(2), 2012, 205-227 (math appendix)
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Government Alternation and Legislative Party Unity: The Case of Italy, 1988–2008 (with Francesco Zucchini), West European Politics, 35(4), 2012, 826-846 (dataset & instruction files)
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Missing links in party-system polarization: How institutions and voters matter (with Airo Hino), The Journal of Politics, 74(2), 2012, 460-473 (dataset & instruction files)

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Satisfaction with Democracy and the Winner-Loser Debate: the role of policy preferences and past experience (with Willy Jou & Vincenzo Memoli), British Journal of Political Science, 42(2), 2012, 241-261 (dataset & instruction files)
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Rebels with a cause – but which one? Defections from legislative party unity in Italy and their individual and institutional determinants (with Francesco Marangoni & Filippo Tronconi), Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, 3, 2011, 385-409 (dataset & instruction files)
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Negative campaigning in no-cabinet alternation systems: ideological closeness and blames of corruption in Italy and Japan using party manifesto data, Japanese Journal of Political Science, 12(3), 2011, 399-420 (dataset & instruction files)
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Government Survival the Italian Way: the Core and the Advantages of Policy Immobilism during the First Republic, European Journal of Political Research, 50, 2011, 110-142  (dataset & instruction files)

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Fortuna e abilità in 65 anni di Serie A, Rivista di Diritto ed Economia dello Sport, Vol.VII, 1, 2011, 127-146  (dataset & instruction files)
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Ideological proximity and valence competition. Negative campaigning through allegation of corruption in the Italian legislative arena from 1946 to 1994 (with Paolo Martelli), Electoral Studies, 29(4), 2010, 636-647 (dataset & instruction files)
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Usare con cautela: posizionamento dei partiti e sondaggi demoscopici. I pregiudizi ideologici dell’elettorato italiano (e cosa possiamo imparare dalla loro esistenza), Polena, 2, 2010, 47-69
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Experts' Political Preferences and Their Impact on Ideological Bias, Party Politics,  16(3), 2010, 299-321 (dataset & instruction files)

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Gli agent-based models: come modellare la complessità, Quaderni di Scienza Politica, 3, 2009, 517-531
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Electoral systems and government stability: a simulation of 2006 Italian policy space (with Paolo Martelli), AUCO Czech Economic Review, 3, 2009, 305-322
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La vicenda Tambroni, la questione dell’antifascismo e la nascita del «centro-sinistra». Un caso di narrazione analitica (with Paolo Martelli), Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, 1, 2008, 3-28
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A call for more structure in Collective Action Theory, Sociologica, vol.3, 2007

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Un’applicazione della teoria delle coalizioni alle elezioni tedesche del 2005: alcuni scenari (with Andrea Ceron), Quaderni di Scienza Politica, 2, 2007, 251-273
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Vox populi-vox dei? (Alcuni) limiti e (alcuni) paradossi della pratica deliberativa, Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, 2, 2006, 231-257
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Note sulla democrazia deliberativa: giochi, preferenze, consenso, Quaderni di Scienza Politica, 3, 2004, 521-552
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Capitale sociale e rendimento istituzionale: il caso di un programma di microfinanza, Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica, XXXIII, 1, 2003, 113-143

Statistical programs

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Nopp. An R-package to estimate Nash Optimal Party Positions (with Stefano M. Iacus), Version: 1.0.8.

Chapters in Books

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Searching for a Unicorn: Fake News and Electoral Behaviour (with Eugenio Pizzimenti), in Serena Giusti, Elisa Piras (eds.), Democracy and Fake News. Information Manipulation and Post-Truth Politics, 2020, Routledge, pp.77-91
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Sentiment Analysis and Social Media (with Robert Fahey), in Luigi Curini & Robert Franzese (eds.), The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations, 2020, Sage, 534-551;  ​Appendix
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Social Media and Elections (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), in Kai Arzheimer,
Jocelyn Evans & Michael Lewis-Beck (eds.), The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour, 
2017, Sage, 883-904

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Il governo Letta: formazione del governo e (in)stabilità in tempo di crisi (with Andrea Ceron), in Amie Krepel & Carlo Fusaro (eds.), Politica in Italia: I fatti dell'anno e le interpretazioni. 2014, Bologna, il Mulino, 151-169
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The Letta Cabinet(s) Government Formation and (In)stability in Times of Crisis: a Spatial Approach (with Andrea Ceron), in Amie Krepel & Carlo Fusaro (eds.), Italian Politics: Still Waiting for the Transformation, 2014, 143-159, Berghahn Books
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Testing the law making theories in a parliamentary democracy: a roll call analysis of the Italian Chamber of Deputies (1988-2008) (with Francesco Zucchini), in Thomas König, George Tsebelis & Marc Debus (eds.), Reform processes and policy change: Veto players and decision-making in modern democracies, 2010, Springer, 189-211 (dataset & instruction files)
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On the externalities of social capital: between myth and reality, in Derrick Purdue (ed.), Civil Societies and Social Movements: Potentials and Problems, 2007, Routledge, 147-165

Ebooks & popular books

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Il Dragone nella rete, in Francesco Galietti (ed.) Contagio rosso. Perché l'Italia è diventata il cavallo di Troia della Cina in Occidente, 2020, 69-79, Historica Edizioni
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 iHappy 2017 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Corriere della Sera, 2018
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 iHappy 2016 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Corriere della Sera, 2017
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 iHappy 2015 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Corriere della Sera, 2016

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 iHappy 2014 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Corriere della Sera, 2015
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 iHappy 2013 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Wired, 2014
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iHappy 2012 (with Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus), Wired, 2013
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#Milano-Brianza in un tweet: lavoro, politica, partecipazione (with Andrea Ceron, Stefano Iacus, Renato Mattioni & Giuseppe Porro), Milan, Guerini e Associati, 2012

Other

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Competing coordination devices in legislative arenas: The case for dyadic analysis of parliamentary behavior (with Francesco Marangoni & Filippo Tronconi), CIRCAP Occasional Papers, 3/2018 ​
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Expo Milano 2o15: Legacies in Tweets (with Vera Ventura, Stefano M. Iacus, Andrea Ceron & Dario G. Frisio), International Journal on Food System Dynamics, Proceedings in System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks 2016, 398:405
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Forecasting elections with social media? Yes, we can. Almost…(Andrea Ceron & Stefano M. Iacus.), Politics in Spire, The Oxford University Politics Blog, 2015
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The cohesion of committees is key in determining their legislative effectiveness, Democratic Audit UK, London School of Economics & Political Science, 2015

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Nowcasting (and forecasting) politics through social media? A personal view , Italian Political Science, 9(1), 2014
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Eight years of development: the Italian academic community of Political Scientists within Universities and Departments, Italian Political Science, 2, 2009
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 Co-editor of the Italian version of : Principles of Comparative Politics, W.R. Clark, M. Golder and S.N. Golder, 2009, Washington DC: Sage (Italian title: Principi di Scienza Politica, 2011, Milan, McGraw-Hill)
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Expert survey of 2008 Italian General Election (with Kenneth Benoit) (Detailed respondent data – Summary data). Every time you use the survey for your own research, please quote it as: Curini, Luigi & Stefano M. Iacus (2008). Italian spatial competition between 2006 and 2008: a changing party system?, paper presented at the XXII Congress of the Italian Political Science Society (SISP), Pavia, 5-8 September

Work in progress

Language and gender in the Italian parliament (with Fedra Negri, Silvia Decadri, Alfio Ferrara, Francesco Periti and Stefano Montanelli)
Religion and Italian politics (with Andrea Molle and Giovanni Pagano)
Freedom and the Covid (with Matteo Casiraghi and Alessandro Nai)
Issues competition (with Luca Pinto)
The dynamics of Lockdowns (with Piero Stanig and Gianmarco Daniele)
Informazione e Italia (with Carlo Lottieri)
Colours and politics (with Benjamin Moffitt and Mattia Zulianello)
The politics of the spread (with Simone Sarti)
Agenda-setting and Japan (with Airo Hino and Robert Fahey)
Language, newspapers and gender (with Elia Arfini and Fabiana Gemma Giannuzzi)
Ideology, Trust and Freedom (with Matteo Casiraghi, Nicola Maggini and Alessandro Nai)
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